Another day, another right wing polling firm claiming some bullshit about Blake Masters polling close to Mark Kelly. In another story elsewhere, 538 claimed that Masters only had a 21 percent chance of even winning. But this new right wing GQP polling firm claims the opposite, and that Mark Kelly only holds a slight lead over Masters, which is absolute bullshit.
Even Peter Thiel, who backed Masters, has dropped out of Arizona and doesn’t even support Masters anymore. Yet that doesn’t stop some bullshit right winger polling firm from trying to grab some headlines claiming Masters is in a very tight race with Kelly. As you can see below, Masters doesn’t have a snowballs chance of winning at all.
The new poll out on Sunday by the GOP polling firm Trafalgar Group shows Kelly receiving 46.6 percent support when likely 2022 general election voters are asked who they would vote for if the election for Senate were held today, compared to Masters with 45.4 percent.
The Libertarian candidate, Marc Victor, received 2.7 percent, while a separate 5.3 percent said they were undecided.
The polling comes roughly 50 days out from the November midterms, and the Arizona Senate race is considered critical for determining which party controls the upper chamber. The nonpartisan Cook Political Report rates the Senate race as ”toss up.”
Kelly has campaigned on Democrats’ recent legislative accomplishments like the Inflation Reduction Act and legislation targeting the domestic semiconductor industry, while Masters has campaigned on issues like crime and immigration.
Masters made headlines last month after news outlets reported that he had scrubbed some of his campaign website related to his position on abortion, as the Supreme Court ruling overturning Roe v. Wade has energized voters about the issue.
The Trafalgar Group poll was conducted Sept. 14-17 with 1,080 respondents polled. The margin of error is plus or minus 2.9 percentage points.