Another day another bullshit poll. It’s like during election season every org out there buys a poll to see where the heartbeat of America is. Most of these orgs are clueless about what Americans are thinking, so they pay these polling companies big bucks to get a feel for the pulse of America. Or that’s at least how they wish it to appear. Most buyers will want a specific issue polled, but they will ask that the poll is swayed towards this or that issue to bolster their funders or donors narratives. In other words, if they want it to say Republicans are winning, then the poll will be skewed to show that indeed, Republicans are winning.
So, it’s mostly bullshit. It’s bought and paid for junk science, much like forecasting orgs like 538 and other orgs that do that same thing are. If the weather is nice, give it five minutes and it will change. That is how the science is on it. Sure, you got 25 million dollar satellites that will tell you this or that front is going to do this or that on day 1 or 2, but after that, when it gets to day 3 or 4 or 5, its all bullshit prognostication. Political forecasting is the same. No one really knows what the outcomes will be, but when the facts come out at the end they are always wrong or bullshit. And all the pundits who relied on them are left feeling dumbfounded by how wrong they were. The inevitable calls to never use polls again to determine an election outcome are then given, but the next time they get the chance to buy a poll they forget what they previously said about polling and go back out and do it all over again.
In this case it’s another heartbeat of America poll, this time from NBC, claiming that Americans are angry and polarization is very high. Like it took a poll to determine that America is on edge. Yes, it’s on edge, it’s on edge for those in this business, the business of politics, but for every day Americans no one gives two shit’s about them. It doesn’t affect them is the reason why. They are still going to get up at 5:00am to get ready for work and head out the door at 6:30am to fight traffic to get to work. They don’t give a rats ass about what’s going on with elites or who funded who or who fucked who yesterday or who will fuck who today. They got to get to work, work a shift all damn day, and then get home, stopping by the store to pick up dinner and then stopping off to get gas, all so they can spend 1.5 hours at home with the family before heading to bed to wash rinse repeat tomorrow.
If you think every day Americans give a shit about who wins or who loses, or if Democracy will win the day or not, think again. This poll, like all the rest of them, are there for one purpose, to energize fat cat rich donors into parting with their money, as if money at this stage of the midterms will actually help sway the undecided who are about .01 percent of the country. Those who haven’t decided by now are not going to be swayed by last minute polls or fear mongering Republicans or Trump people. Know why? Because no matter who wins, things never fucking change for them. They still face a job loss down the road or change no matter what happens. So, they go out every damn day and bust their ass hoping that it won’t be them on the chopping block when that time comes.
They don’t give two flying fucks for rich people they don’t understand, and they certainly don’t give three flying fucks for a bunch of lying ass politicians claiming that they, and only they, can fix the problems of the middle class or the lower class. They got no time for it, they hardly got enough time to spend with the family at home, and even smaller time to spend with the significant other to worry about what Trump said yesterday or how others are energized and or polarized. They only care about getting up tomorrow and doing the same shit they did the day before, and then making it to the weekend where they can pull out the BBQ pit and roast some ribs and watch some football. After that, it’s time to get ready for Monday and the start of another hard ass week, filled with he same shit they did the week before, and the week before that.
But hey, we got this poll from NBC that says people are ANGRY. Yeah, angry was a long time ago when the economy and the justice system they believed in worked, at least for them. Now they see that the economy is rigged by the billionaire class who are threatening to cut jobs because the rich aren’t happy, and the justice system doesn’t work at all, and the rich and wealthy who made their money cheating everyone else will continue to get away with it. After awhile it just becomes a sick joke to believe in it.
So, off to work they go and fuck that poll. Yeah people are angry, so what? No one gives two shit’s anyway. Who gives a flying fuck for them or their anger? No one. But hey, here’s that poll you didn’t ask for telling you that NBC knows you’re angry and polarized, and because of that you are probably a Trump supporter or maybe a Democrat. They don’t know, and quite frankly they don’t care. They got paid a lot of money to tell you about this poll and you didn’t. You just went to work on a terrible hourly wage while they made a few million dollars calling or emailing a few people on some random list to find out what you were thinking and then published it thinking you might care.
80% of Democrats and Republicans believe the political opposition poses a threat that, if not stopped, will destroy America as we know it.
Less than three weeks before Election Day, voter interest has reached an all-time high for a midterm election, with a majority of registered voters saying this election is “more important” to them than past midterms.
What’s more, 80% of Democrats and Republicans believe the political opposition poses a threat that, if not stopped, will destroy America as we know it.
And two-thirds of reliable Democratic and Republican voters say they’d still support their party’s political candidate, even if that person had a moral failing that wasn’t consistent with their own values.
Those are some of the major findings of a new national NBC News poll, which shows a competitive contest for November and offers positive signs for both parties.
On Democrats’ side, President Joe Biden’s approval rating remains steady at 45%, while congressional preference continues to be relatively even (with 47% of registered voters preferring Democrats to control Congress, versus 46% who want Republicans in charge) and “threats to democracy” are voters’ No. 1 issue for the third straight NBC News poll.
For Republicans, the positive signs are that Biden’s approval among independents and swing-state voters is in the 30s and the low 40s, that the GOP once again holds the enthusiasm advantage and that Republicans lead in congressional preference among the smaller set of likely voters, 48% to 47%, although that’s well within the survey’s margin of error.
Yet beyond the horse race numbers and the high interest in the election, what stands out in the poll is the bipartisan anger among Democratic and Republican voters when they are asked what one message they’d like to send with their votes.
“Tell Biden to resign,” a male Republican respondent from Missouri said.
“Save this country,” said a female Republican from New York state.
“Democracy is in jeopardy,” said a male Democrat from Massachusetts.
“Don’t mess with reproductive rights,” said a female Democrat from California.
Democratic pollster Jeff Horwitt of Hart Research Associates, who conducted the survey with Republican Bill McInturff and his team at Public Opinion Strategies, said: “We know that many voters will be casting ballots with anger on their minds. We just don’t know who which side will be angrier.”
According to the poll, 47% of registered voters say they prefer Democrats to control Congress, while 46% want a Republican-controlled Congress — essentially unchanged from last month, when the parties were tied at 46%.
Congressional preference for the 2022 midterms
What is your preference for the outcome of this November’s Congressional elections — a Congress controlled by Republicans or a Congress controlled by Democrats?
Democrats enjoy some of their biggest advantages among Black voters (who prefer Democratic control of Congress by 74% to 13%), those ages 18-34 (60% to 30%), Latinos (57% to 30%) and women (50% to 43%).
Republicans have the edge with white voters (55% to 40%), white voters without college degrees (61% to 33%) and men (49% to 43%).
And the parties are tied among independents, at 40%.
Among the voters the NBC News poll identifies as being “likely voters” — those either with high interest in voting or who have high modeled turnout scores — 48% prefer a Republican-controlled Congress, compared with 47% who want a Democratic-controlled Congress.
It’s the first time this cycle the poll has measured likely voters.
An ‘eye-popper’ in election interest
The poll also found 70% of all registered voters expressing high interest in the election — either a “9” or a “10” on a 10-point scale — the highest percentage ever in the survey for a midterm election at this point.
“It’s an eye-popper” when you have a higher number now than in 2018, which set a turnout record for a midterm election, said McInturff, the GOP pollster.
By party, however, 78% of Republicans have high interest in the midterms, compared with 69% of Democrats.
The 9-point GOP enthusiasm edge is up from September (when it was plus-3) and August (when it was plus-2).